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ECON 640

Topics in Monetary Economics

3 units

Winter 2022

Readings

  • Lutz Kilian and Helmut Lutkepohl, Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis, 1th Edition, 2017
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  • Jordi Gali, Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Frame- work and Its Applications, 2nd Edition, 2015
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  • Financial accelerator models and unconventional monetary policy: Bernanke et al. (1999), Gertler and Karadi (2011)
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  • Financial shocks: Jermann and Quadrini (2012), Brianti and Cormun (2020)
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  • Financial shocks and prices: Gilchrist et al. (2017), Brianti (2021)
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  • Others: Nolan and Thoenissen (2009), Basu et al. (2021), Beaudry et al. (2020), Boissay et al. (2016), Petrosky-Nadeau (2014), Christiano et al. (2014), Drechsel (2020), Kehoe et al. (2019)
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  • Identification of financial shocks with recursive methods: Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012), Caldara et al. (2016)
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  • Identification of financial shocks with sign restrictions: Furlanetto et al. (2019), Abbate et al. (2016), Brianti (2021)
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  • Identification of financial shocks with shock-based restrictions: Caggiano et al. (2020), De Santis and Van der Veken (2021)
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  • Others: Gambetti and Musso (2017), Faust et al. (2013), Alessandri and Mumtaz (2019), Fuentes-Albero (2019), Schularick and Taylor (2012), Jordà et al. (2013), Greenwood and Hanson (2013), Muir (2017), Krishnamurthy and Muir (2017), Jordà et al. (2017), Stock and Watson (2003)
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  • Testing for financial frictions: Hubbard (1998), Schiantarelli (1996), Kaplan and Zingales (1997)
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  • Effects of financial frictions using firm-level data: Chodorow-Reich (2013)
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  • Financial frictions and corporate cash: Almeida et al. (2004), Han and Qiu (2007), Brianti (2021)
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  • Financial frictions and prices: Gilchrist et al. (2017), Kim (2020), Balduzzi et al. (2020)
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  • Others: Greenstone et al. (2020), Balduzzi et al. (2018), Bentolila et al. (2018), Campello et al. (2010), Campello et al. (2011), Covas and Den Haan (2011), Gorton and Metrick (2012), Mian and Sufi (2009), Albanesi et al. (2017)
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  • Abbate, A., S. Eickmeier, and E. Prieto (2016): “Financial shocks and inflation dynamics,
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  • Albanesi, S., G. De Giorgi, and J. Nosal (2017): “Credit growth and the financial crisis: A new narrative,” Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research
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  • Alessandri, P. and H. Mumtaz (2019): “Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 101, 31–46
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  • Almeida, H., M. Campello, and M. S. Weisbach (2004): “The cash flow sensitivity of cash,” The journal of finance, 59, 1777–1804
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  • Balduzzi, P., E. Brancati, M. Brianti, and F. Schiantarelli (2020): “The Economic Effects of COVID-19 and Credit Constraints: Evidence from Italian Firms’ Expectations and Plans,
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  • Balduzzi, P., E. Brancati, and F. Schiantarelli (2018): “Financial markets, banks’ cost of funding, and firms’ decisions: Lessons from two crises,” Journal of Financial Intermediation, 36, 1–15
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  • Basu, S., G. Candian, R. Chahrour, and R. Valchev (2021): “Risky Business Cycles,” Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research
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  • Beaudry, P., D. Galizia, and F. Portier (2020): “Putting the cycle back into business cycle analysis,” American Economic Review, 110, 1–47
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  • Bentolila, S., M. Jansen, and G. Jiménez (2018): “When credit dries up: Job losses in the great recession,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 16, 650–695
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  • Bernanke, B. S., M. Gertler, and S. Gilchrist (1999): “The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework,” Handbook of macroeconomics, 1, 1341–1393
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  • Boissay, F., F. Collard, and F. Smets (2016): “Booms and banking crises,” Journal of Political Economy, 124, 489–538
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  • Brianti, M. (2021): “Financial Shocks, Uncertainty Shocks, and Monetary Policy Trade-Offs,” Tech. rep
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  • Brianti, M. and V. Cormun (2020): “What are the Sources of Boom-Bust Cycles?” Tech. rep
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  • Caggiano, G., E. Castelnuovo, R. Kima, and S. Delrio (2020): “Financial uncertainty and real activity: The good, the bad, and the ugly,
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  • Caldara, D., C. Fuentes-Albero, S. Gilchrist, and E. Zakrajšek (2016): “The macroeconomic impact of financial and uncertainty shocks,” European Economic Review, 88, 185–207
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  • Campello, M., E. Giambona, J. R. Graham, and C. R. Harvey (2011): “Liquidity management and corporate investment during a financial crisis,” The Review of Financial Studies, 24, 1944–1979
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  • Campello, M., J. R. Graham, and C. R. Harvey (2010): “The real effects of financial constraints: Evidence from a financial crisis,” Journal of financial Economics, 97, 470–487
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  • Chodorow-Reich, G. (2013): “The employment effects of credit market disruptions: Firm-level evidence from the 2008–9 financial crisis,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129, 1–59
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  • Christiano, L. J., R. Motto, and M. Rostagno (2014): “Risk shocks,” American Economic Review, 104, 27–65
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  • Covas, F. and W. J. Den Haan (2011): “The cyclical behavior of debt and equity finance,” American Economic Review, 101, 877–99
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  • De Santis, R. and W. Van der Veken (2021): “Business Cycle Fluctuations: Financial Shocks versus Uncer- tainty Shocks,” Working Paper
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  • Drechsel, T. (2020): “Earnings-based borrowing constraints and macroeconomic fluctuations,” University of Maryland Working Paper
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  • Faust, J., S. Gilchrist, J. H. Wright, and E. Zakrajšsek (2013): “Credit spreads as predictors of real-time economic activity: a Bayesian model-averaging approach,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 95, 1501–1519
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  • Fuentes-Albero, C. (2019): “Financial frictions, financial shocks, and aggregate volatility,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 51, 1581–1621
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  • Furlanetto, F., F. Ravazzolo, and S. Sarferaz (2019): “Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations,” The Economic Journal, 129, 311–337
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  • Gambetti, L. and A. Musso (2017): “Loan supply shocks and the business cycle,” Journal of Applied Econo- metrics, 32, 764–782
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  • Gertler, M. and P. Karadi (2011): “A model of unconventional monetary policy,” Journal of monetary Eco- nomics, 58, 17–34
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  • Gilchrist, S., R. Schoenle, J. Sim, and E. Zakrajšek (2017): “Inflation dynamics during the financial crisis,” American Economic Review, 107, 785–823
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  • Gilchrist, S. and E. Zakrajšek (2012): “Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations,” American Economic Review, 102, 1692–1720
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  • Gorton, G. and A. Metrick (2012): “Getting up to speed on the financial crisis: a one-weekend-reader’s guide,” Journal of Economic Literature, 50, 128–50
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  • Greenstone, M., A. Mas, and H.-L. Nguyen (2020): “Do credit market shocks affect the real economy? Quasi- experimental evidence from the great recession and” normal” economic times,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 12, 200–225
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  • Greenwood, R. and S. G. Hanson (2013): “Issuer quality and corporate bond returns,” The Review of Financial Studies, 26, 1483–1525
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  • Han, S. and J. Qiu (2007): “Corporate precautionary cash holdings,” Journal of Corporate Finance, 13, 43–57
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  • Hubbard, R. G. (1998): “Capital-Market Imperfections and Investment,” journal of Economic Literature, 36, 193–225
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  • Jermann, U. and V. Quadrini (2012): “Macroeconomic effects of financial shocks,” American Economic Review, 102, 238–71
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  • Jordà, Ò., M. Schularick, and A. M. Taylor (2013): “When credit bites back,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 45, 3–28
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  • ——— (2017): “Macrofinancial history and the new business cycle facts,” NBER macroeconomics annual, 31, 213–263
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  • Kaplan, S. N. and L. Zingales (1997): “Do investment-cash flow sensitivities provide useful measures of financ- ing constraints?” The quarterly journal of economics, 112, 169–215
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  • Kehoe, P. J., V. Midrigan, and E. Pastorino (2019): “Debt constraints and employment,” Journal of Political Economy, 127, 1926–1991
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  • Krishnamurthy, A. and T. Muir (2017): “How credit cycles across a financial crisis,” Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research
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  • Mian, A. and A. Sufi (2009): “The consequences of mortgage credit expansion: Evidence from the US mortgage default crisis,” The Quarterly journal of economics, 124, 1449–1496
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  • Muir, T. (2017): “Financial crises and risk premia,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 132, 765–809
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  • Nolan, C. and C. Thoenissen (2009): “Financial shocks and the US business cycle,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 56, 596–604
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  • Petrosky-Nadeau, N. (2014): “Credit, vacancies and unemployment fluctuations,” Review of Economic Dynam- ics, 17, 191–205
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  • Schiantarelli, F. (1996): “Financial constraints and investment: methodological issues and international evi- dence,” Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 12, 70–89
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  • Schularick, M. and A. M. Taylor (2012): “Credit booms gone bust: Monetary policy, leverage cycles, and financial crises, 1870-2008,” American Economic Review, 102, 1029–61
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  • Stock, J. and M. Watson (2003): “Forecasting output and inflation: The role of asset prices,” Journal of Economic Literature, 41, 788–829
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Sources