Strat Forecasting Pol Risk

3 Credits · Level: Graduate

This course will provide graduate students with an overview in strategic forecasting and planning methods for policy making. It will equip students with a structured approach to understand how key trends and uncertainties likely will shape future strategic contexts to create political risks and opportunities. Although the primary focus will be on how global trends and uncertainties shape the future of international relations, the course will expose students to basic principles of strategic risk identification and management through specific contingencies anticipated by leading foresight and planning efforts by the public, private, and non-profit sectors. Finally, the course will address a range of futures and forecasting methodologies and how they can be applied to develop and test strategy and policy, research design and methods for developing and integrating multidisciplinary research in forecasts, estimative writing, and the importance of analytic and normative (policy) distinctions in the forecasting and planning process.