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1.203

Applied Probability and Stochastic Models

3-0-9 units · Graduate

A vigorous use of probabilistic models to approximate real-life situations in Finance, Operations Management, Economics, and Operations Research. Emphasis on how to develop a suitable probabilistic model in a given setting and, merging probability with statistics, and on how to validate a proposed model against empirical evidence. Extensive treatment of Monte Carlo simulation for modeling random processes when analytic solutions are unattainable.

Fall 2006 · Logistical and Transportation Planning Methods

Topics

  • Introduction, Overview
  • Pedestrian Crossing Problem 1
  • Pedestrian Crossing Problem 2
  • Functions of Random Variables 1
  • Functions of Random Variables 2
  • Geometrical Probability 1
  • Geometrical Probability 2
  • Introduction to Queues; Little’s Law
  • Markov Birth-and-Death Queues
  • Some Transportation Problems
  • More General Markov Queues
  • The M/G/1 Queue and Extensions
  • Congestion Pricing
  • Hypercube Queueing Model 1
  • Queueing Networks; Dynamic Queues
  • Hypercube Queueing Model 2
  • Hypercube in Practice
  • Introduction to Networks
  • Node and Edge Covering
  • Location Problems
  • Probabilistic Routing and Location
  • Simulating Randomness
  • Networks Research from Urban OR
  • Implementation
  • Final Roundup

Readings

Prerequisites & course information

Same subject as 15.073[J] , IDS.700[J] Prereq: 6.3700 or 18.600 G (Fall) Not offered regularly; consult department 3-0-9 units

Sources