12.844
Modeling and Assessment for Policy
Spring 2013
Topics
- Introduction
- Science Policy Review
- Verification and Validation
- Evaluating Assessments
- Energy Modeling Simulation
- System Modeling
- Class Case 2: Economic Modeling / Model Credibility Exercise
- Class Case 3: Oil Spill / Risk Assessment Part I
- Class Case 4: Clean Air / Risk Assessment Part II
- Benefit-Cost Analysis
- Class Case 5: Sports Statistics / Uncertainty Analysis I
- Uncertainty Analysis II / Model-Building Introduction
- Collaborative Model-Building Exercise
- Interests and Politics: Participatory Methods and Stakeholders
- Class Case 6: Cancer Screening / Lessons Across Cases Discussion
- Policy Memo Roundtable Practice (Optional)
- Policy Memo Roundtable 1
- Policy Memo Roundtable 2
- Synthesis and Wrap-up
Readings
- [Silver] = Silver, Nate. The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don’t . Penguin Press HC, 2012. ISBN: 9781594204111.
- Morgan, M. G. “Technically Focused Policy Analysis.” Chapter 7 in The Science of Science Policy: A Handbook . Edited by Kaye Fealing ed. Stanford Business Books, 2011. ISBN: 9780804770781.
- [Silver] Introduction and Chapter 1.
- Sabatier, Paul A., ed. Theories of the Policy Process . Westview Press, 1999. ISBN: 9780813399850.
- [Silver] Chapter 4.
- Chapter 3: The practice of needs assessment
- Optional: Chapter 1: Introduction and background
- Stokey, Edith, and Richard Zeckhauser. “Linear Programming.” Chapter 11 in A Primer for Policy Analysis . W. W. Norton & Company, 1978. ISBN: 9780393090987.
- [Silver] Chapters 6, and 11.
- Jaemyung Ahn, and Olivier de Weck, “Pilot Study: Assessment of SpaceNet 1.3 with NASA-STD-(I)-7009.” (Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2007).
- [Silver] Chapter 7.
- Parts I, II, and III in Life Cycle Assessment: What it is and How to Do It? United Nations, 1996. ISBN: 9789280715460.
Sources
- Course catalogue ↗Historical OpenCourseWare
- MIT OCW calendar ↗
- MIT OCW readings ↗
- MIT OCW syllabus ↗
- Historical MIT OpenCourseWare offering. Named reading entries and schedule topics are automatically extracted from the linked source pages.