Advanced Macroeconomics II
Topics vary from year to year. Often includes coordination failures; frictions in beliefs, such as rational inattention, higher-order uncertainty, certain forms of bounded rationality, heterogeneous beliefs, and ambiguity; implications for business cycles, asset markets, and policy; financial frictions and obstacles to trade; intermediation; liquidity; safe assets; global imbalances; financial crises; and speculation.
Spring 2007
Professor Blanchard will discuss shocks, labor markets and unemployment, and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGE models). Professor Lorenzoni will cover demand shocks, macroeconomic effects of news (with or without nominal rigidities), investment with credit constraints, and liquidity with its aggregate effects.
Readings
- Hamilton, James D. Time Series Analysis . Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1994, chapters 10 and 11. ISBN: 9780691042893.
- Blanchard, Olivier Jean, and Danny Quah. “The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Disturbances.” American Economic Review 79, no. 4 (September 1989): 655-673.
- Galí, Jordi. “Technology, Employment and the Business Cycle: Do Technology Shocks Explain Aggregate Fluctuations?” American Economic Review 89, no. 1 (1999): 249-271.
- Galí, Jordi. “How Well Does the IS-LM Model Fit Postwar U.S. Data?” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, no. 2 (May 1992): 709-738.
- Blanchard, Olivier J. “Consumption and the Recession of 1990-1991.” The American Economic Review 83, no. 2 (May 1993): 270-274.
- Giannone, Domenico, and Lucrezia Reichlin, “Does Information Help Recovering Structural Shocks From Past Observations?” Journal of the European Economic Association 4, nos. 2-3 (2006): 455-465.
- Bernanke, Ben, Jean Boivin, and Piotr S. Eliasz. “Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy; A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 120, no. 1 (2005): 387-422.
- Barsky, Robert, and Eric R. Sims. “Information Shocks, Animal Spirits, and the Meaning of Innovations in Consumer Confidence.” Mimeograph, University of Michigan (June 2006).
- Jaimovich, Nir, and Sérgio Rebelo. “Can News About the Future Drive the Business Cycle?” Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper Series No. 5877 (October 2006).
- Stock, James H., and Mark W. Watson. “Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?’’ Mimeograph, (August 2002).
- Blanchard, Olivier, and John Simon. “The Long and Large Decline in U.S. Output Volatility.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2001, no. 1 (2001): 135-174.
- Ahmed, Shaghil, Andrew T. Levin, and Beth Anne Wilson. “Recent U.S. Macroeconomic Stability: Good Policies, Good Practices, or Good Luck?’’ Review of Economics and Statistics 86 (2004): 824-832.
- Galí, Jordi, and L. Gambetti. “On the Sources of the Great Moderation.” (June 2007).
- Blanchard, Olivier. “European Unemployment: The Evolution of Facts and Ideas.” Economic Policy 21, no. 45 (January 2006): 7-59.
- Blanchard, Olivier, and Peter Diamond. “The Beveridge Curve.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1989, no. 1 (1989): 1-76.
- Acemoglu, K. Daron, and Robert Shimer. “Holdups and Efficiency with Search Frictions.” International Economic Review 40, no. 4 (November 1999).
- Fahr, René, and Uwe Sunde. “Did the Hartz Reforms Speed Up Job Creation? A Macro-evaluation Using Empirical Matching Functions.” IZA Discussion Paper 2470 (November 2006). ( PDF )
- Lazear, Edward P., and Robert E. Hall. “The Excess Sensitivity of Layoffs and Quits to Demand.” Journal of Labor Economics 2, no. 2 (April 1984): 233-257.
- Bertola, Giuseppe, and Richard Rogerson. “Institutions and Labor Reallocation.” European Economic Review 41 (June 1997): 1147-1161.
- Gielen, Anne C., and Jan C. van Ours. “Why Do Worker-Firm Matches Dissolve?’’ Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper 5739 (July 2006). ( PDF )
- Blanchard, Olivier, and Pedro Portugal. “What Hides Behind an Unemployment Rate: Comparing Portuguese and U.S. Labor Markets.” American Economic Review (March 2001): 187-207.
- Pierre, Gaëlle, and Stefano Scarpetta. “Employment Regulations Through the Eyes of Employers; Do They Matter and How do Firms Respond to Them?” IZA Discussion Paper 1424 (December 2004). ( PDF )
- L’Haridon Olivier, and Franck Malherbet. “Employment Protection Reform in Search Economies.” IZA Discussion Paper 2304 (September 2006). ( PDF )
- Autor, David H., William R. Kerr, and Adriana D. Kluger. “Do Employment Protections Reduce Productivity? Evidence from U.S. States.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 12860, January 2007.
- Algan, Yann, and Pierre Cahuc. “The Roots of Low European Unemployment: Family Culture?” IZA Discussion Paper 1683 (July 2005). ( PDF )
- Shimer, Robert. “The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies.” American Economic Review 95, no. 1 (2005): 25-49.
- Hall, Robert E. “Employment Fluctuations with Equilibrium Wage Stickiness.” American Economic Review 95, no. 1 (2005): 50-64.
- Blanchard, Olivier J., and Peter Diamond. “The Cyclical Behavior of the Gross Flows of U.S. Workers.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1990, no. 2 (1990): 85-155.
- Merz, Monika. “Search in the Labor Market and the Real Business Cycle.” Journal of Monetary Economics 36 (1995): 269-300.
- Gordon, R., and I. Dew-Becker. “Europe’s Productivity Growth Slumps But Employment Growth Surges; Chicken and Egg?’’ Mimeograph, Northwestern University (December 2006).
- Ireland, P. “Technology Shocks in the New Keynesian Model.” Review of Economics and Statistics 86, no. 4 (November 2004): 923-936.
- Christiano, Lawrence, Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles Evans. “Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of Shocks to Monetary Policy.” Journal of Political Economy 113, no. 1 (February 2005): 1-45.
- Taylor, John B. Macroeconomic Policy in a World Economy . New York, NY: W.W. Norton, 1994, chapters 1-3. ISBN: 9780393963168.
- Smets, Frank, and Raf Wouters. “An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area.” Journal of the European Economic Association 1, no. 5 (2003): 1123-1175.
- Gertler, Mark, and Antonella Trigari. “An Estimated Monetary DSGE Model with Unemployment and Staggered Nominal Wage Setting.” Mimeograph, New York University (November 2006).
- Canova, Fabio, and Luca Sala. “Back to Square One: Identification Issues in DSGE Models.” Mimeograph, Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (September 2006).
- Barsky, R. and E. Sims. “Information Shocks, Animal Spirits, and the Meaning of Innovations in Consumer Confidence.” Mimeograph, University of Michigan (June 2006).
- Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro, and John Moore. “Credit Cycles.” Journal of Political Economy 105, no. 2 (1997): 211-248.
- Tirole, Jean. The Theory of Corporate Finance . Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005, chapters 3 and 5. ISBN: 9780691125565.
- Clementi, Gian Luca, and Hugo A. Hopenhayn. “A Theory of Financing Constraints and Firm Dynamics.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 121, no. 1 (2006): 229-265.
- Bernanke, Ben, Mark Gertler, and Simon Gilchrist. “The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework.” Chapter 21 in Handbook of Macroeconomics . Vol. 1C. Edited by John B. Taylor and Michael Woodford. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: North Holland, 1999. ISBN: 9780444501585.
- Carlstrom, Charles T., and Timothy S. Fuerst. “Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis.” American Economic Review 87, no. 5 (1997): 893-910.
- Holmstrom, Bengt, and Jean Tirole. “Financial Intermediation, Loanable Funds, and the Real Sector.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 112, no. 3 (1997): 663-91.
- Cooley, Thomas, Ramon Marimon, and Vincenzo Quadrini. “Aggregate Consequences of Limited Contract Enforceability.” Journal of Political Economy 112, no. 4 (2004): 817-847.
- Hayashi, Fumio. “Tobin’s Marginal q and Average q: A Neoclassical Interpretation.” Econometrica 50, no. 1 (1982): 213-224.
- Fazzari, Steven M., R. Glenn Hubbard, and Bruce C. Petersen. “Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity no. 1 (1988): 141-206.
- Gomes, Joao F. “Financing Investment.” American Economic Review 91, no. 5 (2001): 1263-1285.
- Cooper, Russell, and João Ejarque. “Financial Frictions and Investment: Requiem in Q.” Review of Economic Dynamics 6, no. 4 (2003): 710-728.
- Jovanovic, Boyan, and Peter L. Rousseau. “The Q-Theory of Mergers.” American Economic Review 92, no. 2 (2002): 198-204.
- Chirinko, Robert S., and Huntley Schaller. “Business Fixed Investment and “Bubbles”: The Japanese Case.” American Economic Review 91, no. 3 (2001): 663-680.
- Angeletos, George-Marios, Guido Lorenzoni, and Alessandro Pavan. “Beauty Contests: Micro-foundations and Policy Implications.” Working paper, MIT/Northwestern University, 2007.
- Blanchard, Olivier, and Changyong Rhee. “The Stock Market, Profit, and Investment.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, no. 1 (1993): 115-136.
- Morck, Randall, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny. “The Stock Market and Investment: Is the Market a Sideshow?” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity no. 2 (1990): 157-202.
- Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy C. Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. “When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, no. 3 (2003): 969-1005.
- Diamond, Douglas W., and Philip H. Dybvig. “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity.” Journal of Political Economy 91, no. 3 (1983): 401-419.
- Holmström, Bengt, and Jean Tirole. “Private and Public Supply of Liquidity.” Journal of Political Economy 106, no. 1 (1998): 1-40.
- Scheinkman, Jose A., and Laurence Weiss. “Borrowing Constraints and Aggregate Economic Activity.” Econometrica 54, no. 1 (1986): 23-46.
- Shleifer, Andrei, and Robert W. Vishny. “Liquidation Values and Debt Capacity: A Market Equilibrium Approach.” The Journal of Finance 47, no. 4 (1992): 1343-1366.
- Eisfeldt, Andrea L., and Adriano A. Rampini. “Capital Reallocation and Liquidity.” Journal of Monetary Economics 53, no. 3 (2006): 369-399.
Spring 2004
Topics
- Technology, Distribution, and Employment: Competing Technologies Models
- Technology, Distribution, and Employment: Segregation by Skills and Superstars
- Technology, Distribution, and Employment: Learning and Market Signals
- Technology, Distribution, and Employment: Non Homotheticity in General Equilibrium
- Intellectual Property Rights and Growth
- Bounded Rationality in Macroeconomics
- Demographics and Macroeconomics
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: Macroeconomic Complementarities, Amplification, Multiple Equilibria
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: Global Games, Higher-Order Uncertainty, and Morris-Shin
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: Policy and Information Transmission
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: Prices and Information Aggregation
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: Dynamics, Social Learning, and Other Applications
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: Information and Amplification
- Macro Complementarities/Coordination: More on Complementarities, Dynamic Adjustment, and Business Cycles
- Incomplete Markets: Recursive Equilibria, Heterogeneous Agents, Precautionary Savings, Non-expected Utility
- Incomplete Markets: Aiyagari - Steady-State Effects
- Incomplete Markets: Krusell-Smith - Introducing Business Cycles
- Incomplete Markets: Idiosyncratic Investment Risk
- Incomplete Markets: Incomplete Markets and Endogenous Growth
Readings
- Required Reading
- Acemoglu, D. “Technical Change, Inequality, and The Labor Market.” Journal of Economic Literature 40, no. 1 (March 2002): 7-72.
- Caselli, F. “Technological Revolutions.” American Economic Review 89, no. 1 (March 1999): 78-102.
- Beaudry, Paul, and David Green. “Wages and Employment in the US and Germany: What Explains the Difference?” American Economic Review 93, no. 3 (June 2003): 573-602.
- Related Reading
- Acemoglu, D. “Why do New Technologies Complement Skills? Directed Technical Change and Wage Inequality.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, no. 4 (November 1998): 1055-89.
- Zeira, J. “Workers, Machines, and Economic Growth.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, no. 4 (November 1998): 1091-1117.
- Cooley, T., and M. Yorukoglu. “Innovation and Imitation in an Information Age.” Journal of the European Economic Association 1, no. 2-3 (April-May 2003): 406-18.
- Rosen, Sherwin. ‘‘Authority, Control, and the Distribution of Earnings." Bell Journal of Economics 13, no.2 (1982): 311-23.
- Cooley, T., and M. Yorukoglu. “The New Economy: Some Macroeconomic Implications of an Information Age.” mimeo, NYU. Murphy, Shleifer, and Vishny. “The Allocation of Talent: Implications for Growth.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 106, no. 2 (May 1991): 503-30.
- Kremer, Michael. “The O-Ring Theory of Economic Development.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, no. 3 (August 1993): 551-75.
- Rosen, Sherwin. ‘‘The Economics of Superstars.’’ American Economic Review 71, no.5 (1981): 845-58.
- Saint-Paul, G. “On the Distribution of Income and Worker Assignment Under Intra-firm Spillovers, with an Application to Ideas and Networks.” Journal of Political Economy 109, no. 1 (February 2001): 1-37.
- ———. “Information Technologies and the Knowledge Elite.” Working Paper, 2001 (CEPR Discussion Paper: 2761).
- Garicano, Luis. “Hierarchies and the Organization of Knowledge in Production.” Journal of Political Economy 108, no. 5 (October 2000): 874-904.
- Manasse, Paolo, and Turrini Alessandro. “Trade, Wages, and ‘Superstars’.” Journal of International Economics 54, no. 1 (June 2001): 97-117.
- Greenwood, Jeremy, and Mehmet Yorukoglu. “1974.” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 46 (June 1997): 49-95.
- Greenwood, Jeremy, and Boyan Jovanovic. " The Information-Technology Revolution and The Stock Market." American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 89 (May 1999): 116-122.
- Hobijn, Bart, and Boyan Jovanovic. “The IT Revolution and the Stock Market: Evidence.” American Economic Review 91 no. 5 (2001): 1203-20.
- Jovanovic, B., and P. Rousseau. “Two Technological Revolutions.” Journal of the European Economic Association 1, no. 2-3 (April-May 2003): 419-28.
- Saint-Paul, Gilles. “Distribution and Growth in an Economy With Limited Needs.” CEPR Discussion Paper: 2834, 2001.
- Matsuyama, K. “The Rise of Mass Consumption Societies.” Journal of Political Economy 110, no. 5 (October 2002): 1035-70.
- ———. “A Ricardian Model with a Continuum of Goods under Nonhomothetic Preferences: Demand Complementarities, Income Distribution, and North-South Trade.” Journal of Political Economy 108, no. 6 (December 2000): 1093-1120.
- Zweimuller, Josef. “Schumpeterian Entrepreneurs Meet Engel’s Law: The Impact of Inequality on Innovation-Driven Growth.” Journal of Economic Growth 5, no. 2 (June 2000): 185-206.
- Foellmi, Reto, and Josef Zweimuller. “Heterogeneous Mark-ups, Demand Composition, and the Inequality-Growth Relation.” Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002.
- Matsuyama, K. “Growing Through Cycles in an Infinitely-Lived Agent Economy.” Journal of Economic Theory 100, no. 2 (October 2001): 220-34.
- ———. “Growing Through Cycles.” Econometrica 67, no. 2 (March 1999): 335-47.
- Cohen, Daniel, and G. Saint-Paul, “Uneven Technical Progress and Job Destruction.” CEPR Working paper, 1994.
- Baumol, William. “Macroeconomics of Unbalanced Growth: The Anatomy of Urban Crisis.” In Baumol’s cost disease: The arts and other victims (1997): 51-62, Elgar.
- Caballero, R., and A. Jaffe. “How High Are the Giants’ Shoulders: An Empirical Assessment of Knowledge Spillovers and Creative Destruction in a Model of Economic Growth.” NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1993 (1993): 15-74.
- De Long, Brad, and A. Michael Froomkin. “Speculative Microeconomics for Tomorrow’s Economy.” In Internet Publishing and Beyond: The Economics of Digital Information and Intellectual Property. Edited by Kahin, Brian; Varian, Hal R., 2000, pp. 6-44.
- Boldrin M., and D. Levine. “Perfectly Competitive Innovation.” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Staff Report: 303, 2002.
- Saint-Paul, Gilles. “Growth Effects of Non Proprietary Innovation.” Journal of the European Economic Association 1, no. 2-3 (April-May 2003): 429-39.
- ———. “Cumulative Innovation and Information Sharing in Business Networks.” mimeo, U. Toulouse, Sept. 2003.
- Aghion, P., and P Howitt. “Competition, Imitation and Growth with Step-by-Step Innovation.” Review of Economic Studies 68, no. 3 (July 2001): 467-92.
- Romer, Paul. “When Should We Use Intellectual Property Rights?” American Economic Review 92, no. 2 (May 2002): 213-16.
- ———. “Two Strategies for Economic Development: Using Ideas and Producing Ideas.” Supplement to The World Bank Economic Review and The World Bank Research Observer (1993): 63-91.
- Raymond, Eric S. The Cathedral and the Bazaar .
- Lerner, Josh, and Jean Tirole. “Some Simple Economics of Open Source.” Journal of Industrial Economics 50, no. 2 (June 2002): 197-234.
- Jaffe, A., and Trajtenberg, M. Patents, citations, and innovations: A Window on the Knowledge Economy. MIT Press, 2002.
- Coe, D., and E. Helpman. “International R&D Spillovers.” European Economic Review 39, no. 5 (May 1995): 859-87.
- Kremer, Michael. “Patent Buyouts: A Mechanism for Encouraging Innovation.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, no. 4 (November 1998): 1137-67.
- Zucker, Darby, and Brewer. “Intellectual Capital and the Birth of U.S. Biotechnology Enterprises.” American Economic Review 88, no. 1 (March 1998): 290-306.
- Caselli, Francesco. “Cross-Country Technology Diffusion: The Case of Computers.” American Economic Review 91, no. 2 (May 2001): 328-35.
- Goh, Ai-Ting, and Olivier Jacques. “Optimal Patent Protection in a Two-Sector Economy.” International Economic Review 43, no. 4 (November 2002): 1191-1214.
- Marcet, A., Nicolini, J. P. “Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning.” Centre for Economic Policy Research, Discussion Paper: 1875, 1998.
- Gersbach, Hans, Schniewind, Achim. “Awareness of General Equilibrium Effects and Unemployment.” IZA working paper 394, 2001.
- Hansen, L., Sargent, Thomas. “Robust Control and Model Uncertainty.” American Economic Review 91, no. 2 (May 2001): 60-66.
- Hansen, Lars Peter, and Thomas J. Sargent. “Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory.” Review of Economic Dynamics 4, no. 3 (July 2001): 519-35.
- Marimon, Ramon, Ellen McGrattan, and Thomas J. Sargent. “Money as a Medium of Exchange in an Economy with Artificially Intelligent Agents.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 14, no. 2 (May 1990): 329-73.
- Arifovic, Jasmina. “The Behavior of the Exchange Rate in the Genetic Algorithm and Experimental Economies.” Journal of Political Economy 104, no. 3 (June 1996): 510-41.
- ———. “Evolutionary Algorithms in Macroeconomic Models.” Macroeconomic Dynamics 4, no. 3 (September 2000): 373-414.
- Harrington, J.E. “Rigidity of Social Systems.” Journal of Political Economy 107, no. 1 (February 1999): 40-64.
- Saint-Paul, Gilles. “Some Evolutionary Foundations for Price Level Rigidity.” CEPR Working Paper, 2001.
- Becker, Gary, Murphy Kevin, and Robert Tamura. “Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth.” Journal of Political Economy 98, no. 5 (Part 2, October 1990): S12-37.
- Galor, O., and O. Moav. “Natural Selection and the Origin of Economic Growth.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 117, no. 4 (November 2002): 1133-91.
- Kremer, M., and Chen. “Income Distribution Dynamics with Endogenous Fertility.” (National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper: 7530), American Economic Review 89, no. 2 (May 1999): 155-60.
- ———. “Population Growth and Technological Change: One Million B.C. to 1990.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, no. 3 (August 1993): 681-7.
- Barro, R., and G. Becker. “Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth.” Econometrica 57, no. 2 (March 1989): 481-501.
- Moav, O. “Cheap Children and the Persistence of Poverty.” CEPR Discussion Paper: 3059, 2003.
- Galor, O., and D. Weil. “Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition and Beyond.” American Economic Review 90, no. 4 (September 2000): 806-28.
- Cooper, R. Coordination Games: Complementarities and Macroeconomics. Chapters 1-3 and 7, Cambridge University Press, 1999.
- Cooper, Russell, and Andrew John. “Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 103 (1988): 441–463.
- Cooper, R., and J. Haltiwanger. “Evidence on Macroeconomic Complementarities.” Review of Economics and Statistics 78 (1996): 78-93.
- Obstfeld, Maurice. “Models of Currency Crises with Self-Fulfilling Features.” European Economic Review 40 (1996): 3-5, 1037-47.
- Bartelsman, E., R. Caballero, and R. Lyons. “Customer- and Supplier-Driven Externalities.” American Economic Review 84 (1994): 1075-84.
- Acemoglu, Daron. “Learning About Others’ Actions and the Investment Accelerator.” Economic Journal 103 (1993): 318-328.
- Bryant, John. “A Simple Rational Expectations Keynes-Type Model.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 98, no. 3 (1983): 525-28.
- Caballero, R., and R. Lyons. “External Effects in U.S. Procyclical Productivity.” Journal of Monetary Economics 29 (1992): 209-225.
- Cole, Harold, and Timothy Kehoe. “Self-fulfilling Debt Crises.” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Staff Report 211, 1996.
- Diamond, Douglas, and Philip Dybvig. “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity.” Journal of Political Economy 91 (1983): 401-19.
- Diamond, Peter. “Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium.” Journal of Political Economy 90, no. 5 (1982): 881-94.
- Howitt, P., and P. McAffee. “Stability of Equilibria with Externalities.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 103 (1988): 261-277.
- Katz, M., and C. Shapiro. “Technology Adoption in the Presence of Network Externalities.” Journal of Political Economy 94 (1986): 822-841.
- Kiyotaki, N., and J. Moore. “Credit Cycles.” Journal of Political Economy (1997).
- Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro. “Multiple Expectational Equilibria under Monopolistic Competition.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 103 (1988): 695 - 713.
- Murphy, Kevin M., Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny. “Industrialization and the Big Push.” Journal of Political Economy 97, no. 5 (1989): 1003-26.
- Obstfeld, Maurice. “Rational and Self-Fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises.” American Economic Review 76, no. 1 (1986): 72-81.
- Romer, P. M. “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth.” Journal of Political Economy 94 (1986): S1002- S1037.
- Morris, Stephen, and Hyun Song Shin. “Unique Equilibrium in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Currency Attacks.” American Economic Review 88, no. 3, (1998): 587-597.
- ———. “Rethinking Multiple Equilibria in Macroeconomics.” NBER Macro Annual (2000).
- Carlsson, Hans, and Eric van Damme. “Global Games and Equilibrium Selection.” Econometrica 61, no. 5 (1993): 989-1018.
- Hellwig, Christian. “Public Information, Private Information and the Multiplicity of Equilibria in Coordination Games.” Journal of Economic Theory 107 (2002): 191-222.
- Morris, Stephen, David Frankel, and Ady Pauzner. “Equilibrium Selection in Global Games with Strategic Complementarities.” Journal of Economic Theory 108 (2003): 1-44.
- Morris, Stephen, and Hyun Song Shin. “Global Games - Theory and Applications.” In Advances in Economics and Econometrics, 8th World Congress of the Econometric Society. Edited by M. Dewatripont, L. Hansen, and S. Turnovsky. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
- Yildiz, Muhamet, and Jonathan Weinstein. “Impact of Higher-Order Uncertainty.” MIT mimeo, 2003.
- Angeletos, George-Marios, Christian Hellwig, and Alessandro Pavan. “Coordination and Policy Traps.” MIT Working Paper, 2003.
- Morris, Stephen, and Hyun Song Shin. “Catalytic Finance: When Does It Work?” 2004.
- Corsetti, G., A. Dasgupta, S. Morris, and H. Shin. “Does One Soros Make a Difference? The Role of a Large Trader in Currency Crises.” Review of Economic Studies 71 (2004): 87-114.
- Edmond, Chris. “Information and the Limits to Autocracy.” UCLA Working Paper, 2003.
- Grossman, Sanford, and Joseph Stiglitz. “Information and Competitive Price Systems.” American Economic Review 66, (1976): 246-253.
- Atkeson, Andrew. “Discussion on Morris and Shin.” NBER Macro Annual, 2000.
- Angeletos, George-Marios, and Ivan Werning. “Information Aggregation and Equilibrium Multiplicity: Morris-Shin Meets Grossman-Stiglitz.” MIT/UCLA/Northwestern Working Paper, 2004.
- Grossman, Sanford. “The Existence of Futures Markets, Noisy Rational Expectations and Informational Externalities.” Review of Economic Studies 44 (1977): 431-449.
- ———. “An Introduction to the Theory of Rational Expectations under Asymmetric Information.” Review of Economic Studies 48 (1981): 541-559.
- Grossman, Sanford, and Joseph Stiglitz. “On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets.” American Economic Review 70 (1980): 393-408.
- Hellwig, Martin. “On the Aggregation of Information in Competitive Markets.” Journal of Economic Theory 22 (1980): 477-498.
- Chamley, Christophe. “Coordinating Regime Switches.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 114, no. 3 (1999): 869-905.
- Angeletos, George-Marios, Christian Hellwig, and Alessandro Pavan. “Crises.” MIT Working Paper, 2004.
- Caplin, Andrew, and John Leahy. “Business as Usual, Market Crashes, and Wisdom After the Fact.” American Economic Review 84, no. 3 (1994): 548-565.
- Bernardo, Guimaraes, and Stephen Morris. “Risk and Wealth in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises.” Yale Working Paper, 2004.
- Dasgupta, Amil. “Coordination, Learning and Delay.” LSE Working Paper, 2003.
- Goldstein, Itay, and Ady Pauzner. “Demand Deposit Contracts and the Probability of Bank Runs.” Working Paper, Duke University and Tel Aviv University, 2000.
- Morris, Stephen, and Hyun Song Shin. “A Theory of the Onset of Currency Attacks.” In The Asian Financial Crisis. Edited by P.-R. Agenor, M. Miller, D. Vines and A. Weber. Cambridge University Press, 1999.
- ———. “Coordination Risk and the Price of Debt.” Forthcoming in European Economic Review, 2003.
- ———. “Liquidity Black Holes.” Forthcoming in Review of Finance , 2004.
- Morris, Stephen, and Hyun Song Shin. “The Social Value of Public Information.” American Economic Review 92 (2002): 1521-1534.
- Angeletos, G. M., and A. Pavan. “Transparency of Information and Coordination in Economies with Investment Complementarities.” Forthcoming American Economic Review (P&P) (2004).
- Woodford, Michael. “Imperfect Common Knowledge and the Effects of Monetary Policy.” In Knowledge, Information and Expectations in Modern Macroeconomics: in Honor of Edmund S. Phelps. Edited by P. Aghion, R. Frydman, J. Stiglitz, and M. Woodford, 2003.
- Allen, Franklin, Stephen Morris, and Hyun Song Shin. “Beauty Contests and Iterated Expectations in Asset Markets.” 2003.
- Amato, Jeffery, and Hyun Song Shin. “Public and Private Information in Monetary Policy Models.” 2003.
- ———. “Imperfect Common Knowledge and the Information Value of Prices.” 2004.
- Hellwig, Christian. “On the Aggregate Effects of Information Heterogeneity.” UCLA mimeo, 2003.
- Lorenzoni, Guido. “Imperfect Information and Aggregate Demand.” Princeton University mimeo, 2003.
- Beaudry, P., and F. Portier. “Stock Prices, News and Economic Fluctuations.” 2004.
- Cabalero, R., and E. Engel. “Heterogeneity and Output Fluctuations in a Dynamic Menu-Cost Economy.” 2004.
- Frankel, David and Ady Pauzner. “Resolving Indeterminacy in Dynamic Settings: The Role of Shocks.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 115 (2000): 283-304.
- Frankel, David. “Shocks and Business Cycles.” Forthcoming in Journal of Political Economy, 2004.
- Baxter, M., and R. King. “Production Externalities and Business Cycles.” Minneapolis Fed. (1991)
- Beaudry, P., and M. Devereux. “Monopolistic Competition, Price Setting, and the Effects of Real and Monetary Shocks.” 1993.
- Benhabib, J., and R. Farmer. “Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns.” Journal of Economic Theory 63," (1994).
- Burdzy, Krzysztof, David Frankel, and Ady Pauzner. “Fast Equilibrium Selection by Rational Players Living in a Changing World.” Econometrica 68 (2001): 163-190.
- Shleifer, A. “Implementation Cycles.” Journal of Political Economy 94 (1986): 1163-1190.
- Hansen, G., and E. Prescott. “Recursive Methods for Computing Equilibria.” Chapter 2 in Frontiers of Business Cycle Research. Edited by T. Cooley. Princeton University Press, 1995.
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Prerequisites & course information
Prereq: 14.461 G (Spring) 5-0-7 units
Sources
- Course catalogue ↗2026–2027
- MIT OpenCourseWare ↗Spring 2007
- MIT OCW readings ↗
- MIT OCW syllabus ↗
- MIT OpenCourseWare ↗Spring 2004
- MIT OCW calendar ↗
- MIT OCW syllabus ↗
- MIT OCW readings ↗
- Historical MIT OpenCourseWare offering. Named reading entries and schedule topics are automatically extracted from the linked source pages.
- Historical MIT OpenCourseWare offering. Named reading entries and schedule topics are automatically extracted from the linked source pages.