Doctoral Seminar in Social and Engineering Systems

Snow, C. P., ed. “The Rede Lecture (1959).” In The Two Cultures (Canto Classics) . Cambridge University Press, 2012, pp. 1–51. ISBN: 9781107606142.

Popper, K. Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge . 2nd ed. Routledge, 2002, pp. xi–xvii and 43–86. ISBN: 9780415285940.

Feynman, R. P. The Character of Physical Law (Modern Library) . Modern Library, 1994, pp. xix–xx and 3–55. ISBN: 9780679601272.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. Prologue, chapters 16 and 17 in The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable . Random House, 2007. ISBN: 9781400063512.

Hall, S. S. Mapping the Next Millenium: The Discovery of New Geographies . Random House, 1992. ISBN: 9780394576350.

Watts, D. J. Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age . W. W. Norton and Co., 2003, pp. 37–42 and 130–61. ISBN: 9780393041422.

Banerjee, A., and Esther Duflo. Chapters 1, 2, 10 and the “In Place of Sweeping Conclusions” section in Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty . PublicAffairs, 2011. ISBN: 9781586487980.

Reyna, Valerie S. “Meaning, Memory and Interpretation of Metaphors.” In Metaphor: Implications and Applications . Edited by J. Mio and A. Katz. Psychology Press, 1996. ISBN: 9780805816501.

Simon, Herbert. “Rationality and Administrative Behavior,” and “The Psychology of Administration.” Chapters 4, and 5 in Administrative Behavior . 4th ed. New York, NY: Free Press, 1997. ISBN: 9780684835822.

Lec #: 2 · TOPICS: On Handling Messy Complexity · READINGS: Hughes, Thomas P. Rescuing Prometheus . New York, NY: Knopf, 2000. ISBN: 9780679739388.

Some Powerful Dumb Ideas about Politics and Policymaking Allison, Graham, and Philip Zelikow. Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis . 2nd ed. Boston, MA: Addison-Wesley Longman Inc., 1999, especially chapters 5, 6, and 7. ISBN: 0321033256.

Methods for Forecasting; Predictions for the Future; How have they Actually Worked? U.S. Office of Technology Assessment Reports

Cuhls, K., and T. Kuwahara. Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology: Comparing Japanese and German Technology Forecast Surveys . Heidelberg, Germany: Physica-Verlag, 1994. ISBN: 9783790808001.