Design and Application of Ensemble Prediction Systems

4 credits

Covers the fundamental of chaos theory to help compare and contrast traditional, deterministic forecasting versus ensemble forecasting. Explores the various components of an ensemble prediction system. Introduces decision science to show how to apply probabilistic weather information in optimal decision making. Prerequisite: either ATMOS 501; ATMOS 502; and ATMOS 552, or permission of instructor. Offered: Sp.