APPLIED TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, FORECASTING AND CONTROL I

3 credits.

Theory and application of discrete time series models illustrated with forecasting problems. Principles of iterative model building. Representation of dynamic relations by difference equations. Autoregressive integrated Moving Average models. Identification, fitting, diagnostic checking of models. Seasonal model application to forecasting in business, economics, ecology, and engineering used at each stage, which the student analyzes using computer programs which have been specially written and extensively tested.